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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (90–48, n=138) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.0K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 63% (128 of 202 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 11% (won 18% of 11) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 47% of 19) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 81% of 26) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 42% (won 93% of 41) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $440K | Yes $4.5K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | — | No $6.5K |