← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 65% (98–53, n=151) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $10K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #881 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 76% (13 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (16 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 107 at avg 63¢, ROI +12% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 11% (won 25% of 12) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 45% of 20) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 25% (won 81% of 27) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 45% (won 94% of 48) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $14K | — | — |