PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (375–222, n=597)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$4.4M$3.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #126PM monthly #17was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)50% (2 of 4 open)49% (18 of 37 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2140)0%
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)38% (won 94% of 3856)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3242)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa00gringo00
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $33KSpirit $28K—
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $12KSpirit $227—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $3.6KFURIA $103—
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
—Envy $11KEnvy $9—