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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (99–119, n=218)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$12K$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #833PM monthly #2PM monthly #67PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus30% (16 of 53 open)no open consensus position43% (3 of 7 open)65% (20 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08joseph00677primmRN1
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
——West Virginia $953Texas Tech $830
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13——No $1.1K
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
——West Virginia $138Texas Tech $317
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
——Wyoming $33KWyoming $19K
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
——Texas State $12KTexas State $9.7K