← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 17% (156–789, n=945) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $536K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 84% (32 of 38 open) | 73% (322 of 439 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1436 at avg 34¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 58% (won 18% of 831) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 64% of 167) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 86% of 157) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 281) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.