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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (22–18, n=40) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $883K | $529K | $639K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (155 of 267 open) | 59% (26 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | Oklahoma $494 |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $3.3K | Panthers $238 |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | Otto Virtanen $1 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |