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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (294–578, n=872) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #905 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (80 of 95 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 70% (67 of 96 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Golf ±0 pts, n=91 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 684 at avg 2¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 680) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Baddie | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $288 | — | No $82K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen | — | Alex Michelsen $14K | — | Yannick Hanfmann $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta | — | Francesco Forti $220 | — | Massimo Giunta $1.8K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | — | Cameron Norrie $15K | — | Cameron Norrie $15K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $57 | — | Yes $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |