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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddieBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)34% (286–564, n=850)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)
Consensus PnL$14K$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #898PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus67% (63 of 94 open)88% (22 of 25 open)80% (109 of 137 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGolf ±0 pts, n=88—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won3% of 665 at avg 2¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 3% of 661)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 0% of 2)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddieBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $15K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16No $12K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $25K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $18K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3Yes $4.3K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $122Yes $3.3K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15Yes $2.2K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $1.0K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $164——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $56——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5Yes $28——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $25——