PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsername00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)73% (4110–1508, n=5618)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (389–235, n=624)
Consensus PnL$459K$3.5M$3.5M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus65% (127 of 194 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 5152 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 76% of 270)0%7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 1934)0%26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 221)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1765)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 130)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1183)0%24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsername00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $17K
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.1K——Over $5.0K
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5K——Yes $5.1K
Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $764——Over $5.0K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $5.3K
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24——Yes $1.7K
Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $148——Yes $1.4K