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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)51% (436–420, n=856)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL$94K$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #608PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)68% (161 of 236 open)no open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Under $34K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $84K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578—Under $6.4K