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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| AlmostNoAwareness | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (100–49, n=149) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 62% (82 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.4K |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $2.2K |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $1.5K |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.2K |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $860 |
| Spread: South Florida (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $416 | East Carolina $1.5K |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $971 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $286 | East Carolina $61 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $272 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-5.5) same side · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $4 | South Florida $1.2K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Illinois $91 | Illinois $779 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $164 | Over $23 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-2.5) same side · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $59 | South Florida $108 |