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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlmostNoAwareness | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (103–50, n=153) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $7.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #973 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 58% (45 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $65K | Arizona $82K |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $7.1K | Under $5.8K |
| Spread: TCU (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | Arizona $5.8K | TCU $607 |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $1.7K | Arizona $1.5K |
| Spread: TCU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | Arizona $2.3K | TCU $750 |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $2.0K |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 |
| Spread: TCU (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | Arizona $133 | TCU $1.5K |
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) same side · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $9.1K | TCU $792 |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | — | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K |