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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Alegrandebig | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (1486–114, n=1600) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.2K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #815 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (34 of 36 open) | 72% (95 of 132 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=762 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1026 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 13% of 32) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 44% of 39) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 48) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 88% (won 99% of 907) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $781 | No $29K | — |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $438 | Yes $525 | — |