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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (1480–114, n=1594) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.2K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (33 of 35 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 68% (59 of 87 open) | 64% (34 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=762 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1026 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 13% of 32) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 44% of 39) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 48) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 88% (won 99% of 907) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $781 | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $508 | — | Yes $539 | — |