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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 92% (1049–97, n=1146) | no settled market | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.5K | — | $11.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #812 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (28 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 65% (136 of 208 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=761 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1023 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 13% of 32) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 44% of 39) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 48) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 88% (won 99% of 904) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $56K | No $30K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $642K | No $6.5K |