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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-Frameworkjoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$0$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #992PM monthly #2PM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)65% (110 of 169 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-Frameworkjoseph00677primmRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $181KNotre Dame $36K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
——Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.6K
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
——Michigan State $14KMichigan State $5
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $56Notre Dame $2.7K
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida
——Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $30