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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 95de | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (7–5, n=12) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 50% (9–9, n=18) | 74% (1443–503, n=1946) |
| Consensus PnL | -$469 | $758K | $435K | $298K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #45 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (12 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (172 of 277 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 5% of 159) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 48% (won 100% of 15) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 24% (won 43% of 119) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 45% (won 100% of 14) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 14% (won 61% of 70) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 95% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 95de | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $134K | — | 76ers $812 |
| Raptors vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $126K | — | 76ers $1.6K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $230 | — | 76ers $2.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $31K | — | Raptors $450 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $30K | — | Raptors $1.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $111 | — | Raptors $1.2K |