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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 95de | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (7–5, n=12) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | 40% (4–6, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | -$469 | $758K | $308K | $365K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (12 of 24 open) | 66% (97 of 146 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 48% (won 100% of 15) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 45% (won 100% of 14) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 95de | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $380K | Commanders $2.6K | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $126K | 76ers $37K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5.5K | Under $6.8K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $9 | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Giants $46K | Giants $612 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $230 | Raptors $21 | — |