← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 739633786 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (305–39, n=344) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$120K | $5.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #880 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 20% (1 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 61% (115 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 373 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 97% of 196) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 98% of 175) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 739633786 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $8.7K | Central Michigan $394 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.0K | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.4K | UMass $831 |
| Spread: Ball State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $1.6K | Ball State $191 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | — | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $437 | Sacramento State $23 |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $4.3K | Toledo $1.3K |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $3.0K | Ball State $636 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Lakers $1.7K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $1.6K | — | — | Spurs $123 |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $4 | Toledo $1.1K |