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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 739633786 | beachboy4 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (305–39, n=344) | no settled market | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | -$120K | — | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #946 | — | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (1 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (182 of 266 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 373 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 97% of 196) | — | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 98% of 175) | — | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 739633786 | beachboy4 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | 76ers $776 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Lakers $1.7K | — | Lakers $595 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $1.6K | — | Spurs $71 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Bucks $1.0K | — | Bucks $210 | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $992 | — | Under $118 | — |