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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (3518–4461, n=7979) | 48% (12302–13184, n=25486) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $13.4M | $10.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (59 of 93 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | — | No $247K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | No $38K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | — | Yes $27K | — |
| Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva | Emilio Camacho $595 | Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.7K | — | — |
| Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez opposite sides · consensus Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina $4.0K | Leylah Fernandez $131 | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | — | Yes $259K | — |
| Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks same side · consensus Mia Pohankova | Mia Pohankova $3.1K | Mia Pohankova $47K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $27 | — | No $14K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $961 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| W35 Kunshan: Sijia Wei vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho same side · consensus Sijia Wei | Sijia Wei $146 | Sijia Wei $510 | — | — |