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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (3518–4461, n=7979) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (13782–13915, n=27697) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $10.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #960 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (58 of 92 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 71% (10 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 59% of 860) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | No $247K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $38K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | Yes $27K | — | — |
| Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | Diana Shnaider $328 | — | — | Alexandra Eala $8.0K |
| Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez opposite sides · consensus Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina $4.0K | — | — | Leylah Fernandez $1.1K |
| OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $147 | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | Miami (FL) $82 | — | — | North Carolina $55 |
| Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann opposite sides · consensus Kaitlin Quevedo | Jil Teichmann $29 | — | — | Kaitlin Quevedo $61 |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $46 | — | — | Yes $8 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | Yes $259K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $27 | No $14K | — | — |
| Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung same side · consensus Omar Jasika | Omar Jasika $720 | — | — | Omar Jasika $18 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $128 | — | — | No $462 |