PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
3879187398418900gringo00beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)44% (3518–4461, n=7979)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (13782–13915, n=27697)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.5M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #960was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus64% (59 of 92 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—0%29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market3879187398418900gringo00beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Diana Shnaider $328——Alexandra Eala $8.0K
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
opposite sides · consensus Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina $4.0K——Leylah Fernandez $1.1K
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $147——Under $2.4K
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
Miami (FL) $82——North Carolina $55
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $46——Yes $8
Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung
same side · consensus Omar Jasika
Omar Jasika $720——Omar Jasika $18
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $128——No $462
Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann
same side · consensus Kaitlin Quevedo
Kaitlin Quevedo $342——Kaitlin Quevedo $61