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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
24Warriore46m3ndb1Wiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)32% (520–1095, n=1615)57% (293–219, n=512)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL$41K$536K$4.6M$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #640PM monthly #2PM monthly #158PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (324 of 439 open)73% (65 of 89 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)19% (won 10% of 96)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)21% (won 35% of 105)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)27% (won 54% of 132)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)33% (won 91% of 163)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market24Warriore46m3ndb1Wiretransferxyz
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $11No $350K—
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20Yes $130—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13No $38—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5No $15—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $108Yes $12K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23Yes $571—
Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $22—
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $7—