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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$70K$10K$307K
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #14PM monthly #47PM monthly #42 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (95 of 136 open)67% (14 of 21 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 2)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $749Matteo Martineau $316—
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
opposite sides · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $146Santiago De La Fuente $104—
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $977Tatjana Maria $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $2.3KUgo Humbert $7.4K—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350—