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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1QuantDeLaFugazi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)63% (993–576, n=1569)65% (697–372, n=1069)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.6M$4.8M$108K
Tracked asPM monthly #127PM monthly #10PM monthly #92Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)79% (96 of 122 open)68% (52 of 77 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%59% of 1479 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)25% (won 21% of 373)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)23% (won 45% of 334)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)23% (won 71% of 341)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)29% (won 92% of 431)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1QuantDeLaFugazi
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $13KTommy Paul $45——
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
Kasidit Samrej $123Coleman Wong $1.4K——
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Namibia Women
opposite sides · consensus Namibia Women
Uganda Women $34Namibia Women $19——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $658Over $1.1K——
Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Sydney Sixers $50Sydney Sixers $17——