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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankcrmannetjendb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (23–21, n=44)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$7.9M$38K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #740PM monthly #2PM monthly #491PM monthly #90
Sides with the consensus46% (13 of 28 open)78% (28 of 36 open)67% (2 of 3 open)72% (53 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Soccer −18 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 41 at avg 47¢, ROI +20%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)27% (won 27% of 11)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)24% (won 60% of 10)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)37% (won 67% of 15)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)12% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankcrmannetjendb1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $240KRavens $265K——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $60KRavens $175K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.5KOver $1.8K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $843Over $821——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $4.6KRavens $97K——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $148Ravens $287——