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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6671, n=10316)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)80% (4–1, n=5)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$3.3M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #478PM monthly #3PM monthly #24was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus76% (16 of 21 open)76% (26 of 34 open)72% (184 of 255 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)75% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
opposite sides · consensus Maxim Mrva
Thomas Faurel $1.3K—Maxim Mrva $2.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6K—
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Adrian Andreev $3—Matteo Martineau $1.0K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495—Olympique de Marseille $470—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Tiphanie Lemaitre $760—Justina Mikulskyte $148—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $7.6K—Ben Shelton $1.7K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.1K—Coleman Wong $3.9K—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $2.3K—Lucrezia Stefanini $600—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $650—Sorana Cirstea $273—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $352—Lorenzo Musetti $438—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $178—Afghanistan Under-19s $5—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $125—Lumbini Lions $56—