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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpTheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6671, n=10318)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)63% (114–68, n=182)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$3.3M-$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #510PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)62% (18 of 29 open)74% (176 of 238 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpTheMathGod
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
opposite sides · consensus Thomas Faurel
Thomas Faurel $796—Maxim Mrva $3.5K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $598—Olympique de Marseille $969—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $13K—Otto Virtanen $8—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $650—Sorana Cirstea $1.3K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $157—Remy Bertola $1.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $349—Lorenzo Musetti $438—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $81—Matej Dodig $383—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $125—Lumbini Lions $56—