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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpRayGuy
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)83% (30–6, n=36)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$3.6M$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #128PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #670
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)88% (22 of 25 open)77% (109 of 142 open)75% (170 of 226 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 34 at avg 77¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)85% (won 100% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpRayGuy
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $65K—Sorana Cirstea $15K—
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C
opposite sides · consensus SAW Youngsters
Four Magic $51—SAW Youngsters $16—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $13K—
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Namibia Women
same side · consensus Namibia Women
Namibia Women $71—Namibia Women $6—