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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026AMikeRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)75% (12–4, n=16)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.1M-$2.9K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #739PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)100% (1 of 1 open)65% (22 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—27% (won 0% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 80% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026AMikeRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $33
Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
UTEP $50K—UTEP $1.4K
Spread: Hawai'i (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
UTEP $4.1K—UTEP $13K
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $2.8K—Texas Tech $317
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21—Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $103—Texas Tech $830