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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (76–97, n=173)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$58K$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #811PM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (264 of 387 open)71% (58 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537Flaznorpndb1primm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $6.6K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K—