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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (744–249, n=993)45% (200–248, n=448)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL—$74K$28K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #627PM monthly #14PM monthly #44PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (104 of 148 open)68% (17 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $10KCameron Norrie $6.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $621Lakers $9.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Lakers $183Bucks $6.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.3K—
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
opposite sides · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
—Jazmin Ortenzi $4.9KAndrea Lazaro Garcia $323—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Andrea De Marchi vs Daniele Rapagnetta
opposite sides · consensus Andrea De Marchi
—Andrea De Marchi $215Daniele Rapagnetta $3—
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Michaela Laki $83Sachia Vickery $2—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $1.0KAryna Sabalenka $5.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $213Trail Blazers $1.5K—