← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4 | BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (28–15, n=43) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 50% (26157–25785, n=51942) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.6K | $7.7M | $3.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 66% (41 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=20 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 0% of 9) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 2) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4 | BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | Over $19K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $12K | Bears $5.5K | — |