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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pleaseletmealoneBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)13% (2–13, n=15)41% (589–853, n=1442)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)
Consensus PnL-$2.1K$8.4M$1.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #437PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus80% (94 of 117 open)88% (29 of 33 open)72% (89 of 124 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=26—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 0% of 72)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpleaseletmealoneBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $54No $2.4K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $543Yes $306K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $982——
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $695——
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $273——
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $200——
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $200——
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $200——
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $200——
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $200——
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $187——
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $171——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $42——