Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xafef98...7ff50eFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$0$4.1M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #971PM monthly #10PM monthly #98PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)67% (132 of 198 open)73% (113 of 154 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xafef98...7ff50eFlaznorpndb1primm
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KNo $7.4K—
Brisbane 3: Evan Zhu vs Thomas Fancutt
opposite sides · consensus Thomas Fancutt
Thomas Fancutt $1.9KEvan Zhu $430——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40KNo $18K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28No $115—