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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592BoomLaLaHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)60% (60–40, n=100)69% (49–22, n=71)53% (270–236, n=506)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL$171K$1.0K$279K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #60was PM monthly #921PM monthly #7PM monthly #29
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (4 of 16 open)75% (40 of 53 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=14, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%100% of 21 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 6)57% (won 100% of 12)32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 37)19% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 14)19% (won 100% of 4)10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592BoomLaLaHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Packers $104Vikings $5.6K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Raiders $68Seahawks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $115Over $1.3K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $3Vikings $6.2K—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $74Kraken $845—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12Over $891—