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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)97% (3432–89, n=3521)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)
Consensus PnL-$9.0K$9.4M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #837PM monthly #2PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)66% (284 of 431 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 36% of 14)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 56% of 32)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 3409)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $117K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $40K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $43K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $6.9KCeltics $215