← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (3432–89, n=3521) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.0K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 64% (155 of 242 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 36% of 14) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 56% of 32) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 99% of 3409) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $7.1K | Celtics $215 | — |