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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0FlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)48% (137–148, n=285)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$193K$1.4M$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #814PM monthly #14PM monthly #39PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus84% (68 of 81 open)64% (100 of 157 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won17% of 303 at avg 6¢, ROI +11%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢92% (won 10% of 278)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢0%15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 100% of 25)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up0%42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.