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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0FlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (732–246, n=978)66% (479–242, n=721)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL—$69K-$146K$307K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #814PM monthly #14PM monthly #44 + pinnedPM monthly #19 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (56 of 85 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won0% of 1 at avg 2¢, ROI +32%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢0%13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up0%34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0FlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—G2 $4—MOUZ $328K
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $1.1KSumit Nagal $3.0K—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic
same side · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci
—Tommaso Compagnucci $290Tommaso Compagnucci $1.2K—