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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49ndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)91% (89–9, n=98)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$173K$4.6M$3.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #777PM monthly #110PM monthly #47PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)72% (71 of 98 open)80% (8 of 10 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won94% of 97 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 33% of 6)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 98% of 87)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.