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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)91% (87–9, n=96)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$177K$3.5M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #691PM monthly #23PM monthly #103PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)71% (83 of 117 open)72% (71 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won94% of 96 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 20% of 5)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 98% of 87)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.