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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)91% (89–9, n=98)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$178K$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #628PM monthly #9PM monthly #111
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)72% (120 of 166 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won94% of 97 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 33% of 6)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 98% of 87)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.