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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f11f82cc8beb400bc64ea0c380f0164044a3eeaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)55% (206–170, n=376)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL—$822K$229K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (7 of 13 open)70% (111 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f11f82cc8beb400bc64ea0c380f0164044a3eeaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Raptors $24KCeltics $35K—
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.1KWizards $9.8K—
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $441Nuggets $25—
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $4Nuggets $37—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $26KGrizzlies $1.1K—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $11KPacers $9.3K—
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $340Nets $3.4K—
Nets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $1.8KNets $46—