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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (100–33, n=133)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.7M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #846PM monthly #1PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (44 of 52 open)72% (72 of 100 open)57% (54 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankndb1RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $294K—Texans $5.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $7.0K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K—76ers $840
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100K—Texans $1.5K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $423KNo $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $304KYes $12K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24K—Colts $8.5K