← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lucianow34 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 49% (89–91, n=180) | 46% (152–176, n=328) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $39K | -$51K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #846 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (35 of 49 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lucianow34 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $81 | Over $36 |
| Matsuyama: Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Shimizu same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej | — | Kasidit Samrej $2.7K | Kasidit Samrej $6.9K |
| Matsuyama: Niels McDonald vs Koki Matsuda same side · consensus Niels McDonald | — | Niels McDonald $6.4K | Niels McDonald $3.0K |
| Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors same side · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | — | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $4.6K | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $644 |
| Matsuyama: Shintaro Imai vs Fajing Sun same side · consensus Fajing Sun | — | Fajing Sun $388 | Fajing Sun $2.0K |