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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lucianow34 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (625–479, n=1104) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $7.7M | $4.1M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #906 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (42 of 59 open) | 72% (143 of 199 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lucianow34 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16K | No $23K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $4.3K | 76ers $797 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $65K | Colts $63 | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls same side · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $2.1K | Bulls $215 | — |