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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Novelty8BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)73% (633–230, n=863)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL-$69K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #801PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)89% (34 of 38 open)76% (258 of 341 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=11, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=370, ROI +3%
  • Esports +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 463 at avg 88¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 98% of 41)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up79% (won 100% of 366)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNovelty8BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $165Lions $14K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $632KNo $54K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $110K—Colts $5.1K