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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241biying99999Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (120–125, n=245)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL—$15K$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #444PM monthly #16PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)66% (165 of 251 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=59, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—100% of 106 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 100% of 58)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 100% of 46)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 2)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241biying99999Flaznorpndb1
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $1.5KCeltics $215—
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
opposite sides · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
—BC Aris Thessaloniki $10Hapoel Jerusalem $998—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $983Pistons $1.6K—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KUnder $172—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $206Over $8—